Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.210493 11.426119 12.739914 14.267127 15.995898 17.894712 20.141845
2025-04-27 8.592521 10.248089 12.164722 14.554743 17.465243 20.907038 25.304085
2025-05-04 7.277195 9.181893 11.525818 14.639001 18.690285 23.817374 30.850777
2025-05-11 6.077319 8.066452 10.653309 14.293099 19.328921 26.118220 36.079212
2025-05-18 5.155197 7.167691 9.921482 14.009508 20.000076 28.575367 41.993240
2025-05-25 4.430226 6.428537 9.294497 13.767076 20.685170 31.167728 48.614826
2025-06-01 3.869333 5.841555 8.796648 13.629920 21.498440 34.086547 56.324522
2025-06-08 3.423401 5.362419 8.389009 13.562857 22.404839 37.304610 65.186238
2025-06-15 3.142440 5.100583 8.280502 13.955989 24.129438 42.178670 77.957046
2025-06-22 2.809753 4.708400 7.903562 13.833500 24.936271 45.589277 88.778229
2025-06-29 2.490805 4.297142 7.437727 13.479952 25.259060 48.160268 98.524450
2025-07-06 2.243422 3.979061 7.092199 13.292345 25.860396 51.369438 110.311563
2025-07-13 2.088517 3.813895 7.012094 13.619954 27.585058 57.272596 129.651384
2025-07-20 1.957689 3.677035 6.967207 14.012840 29.524990 64.044041 152.825684
2025-07-27 1.816326 3.502038 6.825192 14.184668 31.026249 70.169322 176.144649
2025-08-03 1.647709 3.252283 6.501053 13.917388 31.495041 74.004530 194.664595
2025-08-10 1.503197 3.034372 6.214977 13.691307 32.024355 78.112774 215.154864
2025-08-17 1.377638 2.841286 5.957291 13.491379 32.585380 82.435265 237.586919
2025-08-24 1.273268 2.681440 5.752047 13.384397 33.365504 87.519754 263.922693
2025-08-31 1.184326 2.545175 5.582568 13.338986 34.302438 93.257214 294.201040
2025-09-07 1.133953 2.489568 5.590807 13.740818 36.530768 103.217144 341.946984
2025-09-14 1.055795 2.361182 5.411976 13.632123 37.312625 109.066084 377.352975
2025-09-21 0.971810 2.209998 5.160356 13.292747 37.367113 112.693192 405.910804